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Cash flow and creditworthiness

Business free cash flow: calculating it and why banks assess it

A company may report profit and regular revenue yet lack cash. Lenders assess both results and cash remaining after mandatory costs that can repay borrowing.

29 July 2026 16 min read For Russian LLCs and individual entrepreneurs
At a glance

Free cash flow measures cash remaining after operating payments, taxes, working capital investment and necessary capital expenditure.

A stable surplus makes repayment clearer. Banks have no single universal formula and may apply their own adjustments.

What is free cash flow?

Cash generated after funding current operations and the investment needed to maintain the business.

Unlike revenue, it reflects payments; unlike accounting profit, it reflects cash movements rather than only recognised income and expenses.

The surplus may fund:

  • loan repayments;
  • interest;
  • owner dividends;
  • expansion;
  • cash reserves;
  • new investment;
  • early debt repayment.
Positive cash flow Cash remains after costs

The business can fund obligations, reserves or some development internally.

Negative cash flow Outflows exceed receipts

Reserves, borrowing, supplier terms or a revised financial cycle are needed.

Negative cash flow does not always mean crisis

A branch, equipment, inventory growth or a major contract may explain it. Assess the cause, duration and funding source.

Why profit differs from cash flow

Revenue may be recognised upon delivery under accounting rules although the buyer pays 30, 60 or 90 days later.

Meanwhile the company may have paid:

  • goods or raw materials;
  • payroll;
  • rent;
  • logistics;
  • taxes;
  • loan interest;
  • the next purchase.

The profit and loss statement may show profit while the bank account lacks cash.

Measure What it shows What it does not show
Revenue Value of goods, work or services sold Cash collected and remaining after costs
Net profit Result after recognised expenses Actual receipt, payment and debt repayment dates
Account balance Cash at a point in time Mandatory payments due shortly
Operating cash flow Cash from core activity after operating outflows All required investment and capital spending
Free cash flow Surplus after necessary operating and investment costs Automatic approval without assessing receipt quality

Simple example

A company delivers RUB 5 million of goods on 60-day terms. Goods cost RUB 3.5 million, so accounting profit may arise.

Suppliers, wages and taxes are already paid, but the RUB 5 million arrives only two months later.

Profit is reported but cash is not yet available

Banks therefore compare profit, cash flow reports, bank statements, receivables and mandatory payments.

Cash flow types to distinguish

Cash flow statements usually group receipts and payments into three categories.

Flow 1 Operating

Revenue, suppliers, payroll, rent, taxes and current costs.

Flow 2 Investing

Purchases and sales of equipment, property and other long-term assets.

Flow 3 Financing

Borrowing, debt repayment and owner contributions.

Measure 4 Free cash flow

Surplus after operations and necessary capital investment.

Measure 5 Cash available for debt service

Adjusted cash available for principal and interest.

No single formula fits every purpose

Investors may calculate cash for the firm, owners dividend capacity and banks cash available for debt service.

Calculating free cash flow

Method 1. Direct management calculation

SMEs can start with actual cash movements.

Management formula Free cash flow = operating receipts − operating payments − taxes − necessary capital expenditure − additional working capital investment not already reflected in those receipts/payments. Do not deduct working capital movements twice.

For bank purposes, identify one-off receipts, owner expenses, internal transfers and existing loan payments separately.

Method 2. From operating cash flow

Simplified formula Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital expenditure

Capital spending includes equipment, vehicles, property, software and other long-term assets.

Method 3. From operating profit

Analytical FCFF formula FCFF = after-tax operating profit + depreciation and amortisation − capital expenditure − change in non-cash net working capital

This is common in financial analysis and valuation. Reconcile credit application calculations with actual bank statements and management cash flow reports.

Do not simply deduct every purchase from revenue

Some costs relate to goods already sold, others create inventory, while equipment has a different economic nature. Without classification, calculations become distorted.

What is a working capital change?

Growing businesses often put funds into inventory and receivables, so revenue growth does not always raise free cash flow.

Cash may be tied up in:

  • unpaid receivables;
  • stock;
  • raw materials and supplies;
  • work in progress;
  • supplier advances;
  • contract security;
  • deposits and minimum balances.
Working capital logic Receivables and inventory growth consume cash; sustainable payables growth temporarily supports it.

Overdue supplier debts are not a normal financing source.

Free cash flow calculation example

Illustrative annual figures

Customer receipts RUB 72 million
Operating payments RUB 55 million
Taxes RUB 4 million
Capital expenditure RUB 3 million
Inventory and receivables growth RUB 2 million
Owner payments RUB 1.5 million

For this management model, the separately shown RUB 2 million working capital commitment is assumed not to be included already in receipts or operating payments. Otherwise omit that extra deduction. Free cash flow before owner payments is:

Calculation 72 − 55 − 4 − 3 − 2 = RUB 8 million

After owner payments, RUB 6.5 million remains.

If existing debt service is RUB 3 million annually, RUB 3.5 million remains afterwards.

New borrowing depends on cash after existing debt service

Banks assess whether additional payments can be met without a permanent deficit.

Why banks analyse free cash flow

Loans need a clear, sustainable repayment source. Security reduces risk but does not replace regular payment capacity.

Cash flow analysis answers several questions.

Is there enough cash?

Surplus after costs for a new loan payment.

Is it sustainable?

Recurring performance or one large transaction.

Is it seasonal?

Months when receipts cannot cover payments.

Where does repayment come from?

Operations, a contract, asset sale or new borrowing.

Is the limit excessive?

Loan size versus actual debt-service capacity.

Does the schedule fit?

Payments aligned with revenue and the operating cycle.

Banks assess more than averages

Positive annual cash flow can hide months of deep shortfalls. Monthly trends matter.

Items banks may exclude or adjust

Management calculations may be changed for one-off, unsupported or unsustainable receipts and costs.

Measure Potential adjustment Reason
Own-account transfers Excluded from receipts Not new revenue
Owner contributions Separated from operating flows Not generated by core activity
New borrowing Not treated as business income Creates a repayment obligation
Property or equipment sales Treated as one-off receipts Not recurring
Unverified cash sales May be excluded or partly counted Source cannot be reliably checked
Owner personal expenses Treated as actual outflows Reduce cash available to the business
One-off payment savings Normalised Costs may recur next period
Overdue payables Treated as future payments Cash remains temporarily but the obligation persists
Receivables Assessed by timing and buyer quality Not all receivables become cash on time
Internal transfers may inflate turnover

Moving the same funds repeatedly between banks makes gross credits exceed actual revenue.

Cash flow and debt coverage

Banks compare adjusted cash with payments on existing and requested obligations.

Debt coverage logic Debt service coverage ratio = cash available for debt service ÷ principal and interest payments

Numerator, period and acceptable ratio depend on the bank’s methodology and product.

Above one means calculated cash exceeds debt service.

A small buffer may be insufficient with seasonality, customer concentration, unstable prices or long payment terms.

Banks generally look for headroom

Debt should remain serviceable with moderate revenue decline or cost increases, not only under ideal conditions.

Which period to use

For an initial assessment, prepare:

  • at least the last 12 months’ actual data;
  • monthly calculations, not only annual totals;
  • the comparable previous-year period;
  • a forecast over the proposed loan term;
  • a revenue decline scenario;
  • existing and future debt payment schedules.

One quarter rarely represents a seasonal business. Peak receipts can hide shortfalls elsewhere.

Documents for the bank

Management cash flow report

Monthly receipts and payments by activity.

Profit and loss statement

Revenue, cost of sales, expenses and profit.

Management balance sheet

Inventory, receivables, payables, cash and debt.

Bank statements

Actual turnover across all business accounts.

Receivables register

Buyers, amounts, due dates and arrears.

Payables register

Suppliers, deadlines and overdue obligations.

Existing loans

Balances, rates, schedules and security.

Agreements and contracts

Evidence of future revenue and payment timing.

Capital expenditure

Equipment, vehicle and other asset purchases.

Forecast payment calendar

Future receipts, mandatory payments and proposed borrowing.

Preparing a credit application calculation

01
Collect all bank accounts

Cover the entire business cash flow, not just the main bank.

02
Remove internal transfers

Exclude own-account movements and repayments of previously advanced funds.

03
Separate operating and one-off transactions

Show borrowing, owner contributions and asset sales separately.

04
Account for working capital

Include changes in inventory, receivables and payables only where not already reflected in cash receipts/payments.

05
Identify mandatory investment

Separate necessary asset replacement from optional expansion.

06
Add existing debt

Show principal, interest, leasing and other recurring obligations.

07
Calculate the new payment

Compare it with free cash flow and seasonal lows.

08
Prepare a stress case

Test lower revenue, higher costs or delayed receivables.

Common calculation mistakes

Mistake Treating the whole bank balance as free

Some cash is already committed to taxes, payroll and suppliers.

Mistake Using net profit alone

Profit does not show customer payment dates or actual cash movements.

Mistake Counting borrowing as operating income

A loan raises cash and debt together.

Mistake Keeping internal transfers

The same rouble enters gross turnover repeatedly.

Mistake Ignoring receivables growth

Revenue rises but buyers have not paid.

Mistake Ignoring future taxes

An apparent surplus includes funds needed for taxes.

Mistake Using an annual average

Averages hide seasonal gaps.

Mistake Ignoring owner withdrawals

Regular owner payments reduce cash available for debt.

Mistake Treating all payables as free funding

Overdue suppliers must be paid despite temporarily supporting cash.

Mistake Forecasting only optimistic outcomes

A small disruption may make payments impossible.

When positive cash flow may not persuade a bank

A positive result does not guarantee approval. Banks assess source quality and resilience.

Further questions arise when:

  • one buyer generates most revenue;
  • receipts are irregular;
  • owners supplied much of the cash;
  • receivables are overdue;
  • margins are falling rapidly;
  • suppliers require advances;
  • taxes or loans are overdue;
  • asset sales produced the surplus;
  • major mandatory investment is planned;
  • the new payment consumes almost all free cash flow.
Do not allocate all free cash flow to debt

Keep reserves for seasonality, cost increases, late customers and unexpected payments.

Improving free cash flow

Receivables Shorten customer payment terms

Review terms, limits and arrears control, and consider factoring.

Inventory Reduce surplus stock

Separate fast- and slow-moving goods and adjust purchasing.

Suppliers Agree workable supplier terms

Align purchases with customer receipts.

Margins Review profitability by activity

Avoid sales that raise turnover but consume cash.

Costs Separate fixed and variable costs

Identify payments unrelated to revenue generation.

Investment Review capital expenditure timing

Distinguish essential replacement from deferrable investment.

Debt Align repayments

Consider a better term, facility, seasonal schedule or refinancing.

Control Introduce a payment calendar

Forecast balances and gaps before payments fall due.

Cost cutting is not the only route

Faster receivables collection, less stock, revised purchasing and suitable banking products may have greater impact.

When to seek help

Assessment helps profitable companies with recurring shortages or reduced bank limits.

Help is particularly relevant when:

  • bank statements and management accounts disagree;
  • turnover is spread across banks;
  • seasonality is strong;
  • receivables are substantial;
  • several loans run simultaneously;
  • a prudent payment amount is needed;
  • an RCF or working capital loan is required;
  • a bank rejected a weak repayment source;
  • a financial model is needed;
  • a major contract or investment is planned.

Calculate actual debt-service capacity

NG Finance helps Russian LLCs and individual entrepreneurs reconcile management cash flow, account turnover, debt, receivables and proposed repayment schedules.

Analysis does not guarantee approval, but helps identify a realistic limit, weaknesses and clear repayment sources.

Submit a request

Frequently asked questions

Are free cash flow and net profit the same?

No. Net profit is an accounting result; free cash flow reflects receipts and payments, working capital and capital spending.

Can it be calculated from a bank statement alone?

Statements show actual movements but need classification. Separate transfers, borrowing, owner contributions and one-off receipts from operations.

Why can a profitable business have negative cash flow?

Funds may be tied up in receivables, inventory, equipment, supplier advances or past obligations.

What is a good free cash flow?

There is no universal amount. It should be stable, evidenced and cover existing and new debt with sufficient headroom.

Do banks count owner funds?

Contributions may evidence support but are generally separated from cash generated by core activity.

Should an entrepreneur’s personal withdrawals be included?

Yes. Regular withdrawals reduce business cash available for obligations.

How does seasonality affect the calculation?

Positive annual totals may include deficit months. Compare monthly cash flow with loan timing.

Is a new loan cash flow?

It increases cash but is financing activity and creates debt. It is not operating income.

Which matters more: collateral or cash flow?

Security reduces potential loss, but business cash flow is generally the normal repayment source. The approach depends on product and methodology.

Can better calculations raise a credit limit?

Clear reporting helps assessment, but debt, turnover, credit history, security and internal lender requirements also matter.

This article provides general information. Cash flow definitions, adjustments, coverage, limits and decisions depend on each bank’s methodology. Prepared using public sources: IAS 7 Statement of Cash Flows , IFRS for SMEs: Statement of Cash Flows , Bank of Russia: guidance on Regulation No. 590-P , VTB: business financial models , SberBusiness: repayment capacity indicators .

Request a financing assessment

For businesses registered in Russia.

No overdue debt.

Business registered for more than 6 months.

Final eligibility depends on the lender and financing product.

By submitting this form, I consent to Individual Entrepreneur Oleg Igorevich Novikov processing my personal data to review my request and help select financing, in accordance with the Personal Data Processing Consent (Russian) and Privacy Policy (Russian).
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